© The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc., 2000 3-1 Chapter 3 Data Description. - презентация

1 © The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc., Chapter 3 Data Description

2 © The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc., Outline 3-1 Introduction 3-2 Measures of Central Tendency 3-3 Measures of Variation 3-4 Measures of Position 3-5 Exploratory Data Analysis

3 © The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc., Objectives Summarize data using the measures of central tendency, such as the mean, median, mode, and midrange. Describe data using the measures of variation, such as the range, variance, and standard deviation.

4 © The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc., Objectives Identify the position of a data value in a data set using various measures of position, such as percentiles, deciles and quartiles.

5 © The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc., Objectives Use the techniques of exploratory data analysis, including stem and leaf plots, box plots, and five-number summaries to discover various aspects of data.

6 © The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc., Measures of Central Tendency statistic A statistic is a characteristic or measure obtained by using the data values from a sample. parameter A parameter is a characteristic or measure obtained by using the data values from a specific population.

7 © The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc., The Mean (arithmetic average) mean The mean is defined to be the sum of the data values divided by the total number of values. We will compute two means: one for the sample and one for a finite population of values.

8 © The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc., The Mean (arithmetic average) The mean, in most cases, is not an actual data value.

9 © The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc., The Sample Mean ThesymbolXrepresentsthesamplemean XisreadasXbarTheGreeksymbol isreadassigmaanditmeanstosum X XXX n X n n. "-". " = + """

10 © The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc., The Sample Mean The Sample Mean - Example = ==..12,14,12,5,8,3 weeks n X X ismeansampleThe samplethisofageaverage theFindand areshelteranimalanatkittenssixof samplerandomaofweeksinagesThe

11 © The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc., The Population Mean TheGreeksymbolrepresentsthepopulation meanThesymbolisreadasmu Nisthesizeofthefinitepopulation XXX N X N N. " = + "

12 © The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc., The Population Mean- 3-2 The Population Mean - Example,,,. (.) = = 50,000+20,000+12,000+9,000+9,000 5 = $20,000.

13 © The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc., The Sample Mean for an Ungrouped Frequency Distribution Themeanforanungroupedfrequency distributuionisgivenby X fX n Herefisthefrequencyforthe correspondingvalueofXandnf = (), =..

14 © The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc., The Sample Mean for an Ungrouped Frequency Distribution The Sample Mean for an Ungrouped Frequency Distribution - Example The scores for 25 students on a 4 – point quiz are given in the table. Find the mean score Score, XFrequency, f Score XFeuenc, fyqr,

15 © The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc., Score XFeuenc, X == X fX n The Sample Mean for an Ungrouped Frequency Distribution The Sample Mean for an Ungrouped Frequency Distribution - Example f qfyr,

16 © The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc., The Sample Mean for a Grouped Frequency Distribution Themeanforagroupedfrequency distributionisgivenby X fX n HereX is the correspond ing classmidpoint. m m = ().

17 © The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc., The Sample Mean for a Grouped Frequency Distribution The Sample Mean for a Grouped Frequency Distribution - Example 5 ClassFeuenc, f yqr

18 © The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc., The Sample Mean for a Grouped Frequency Distribution The Sample Mean for a Grouped Frequency Distribution - Example Table with class midpoints, X m ClassFreuenc, X m X m fyq f

19 © The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc., = =. = = fX andnSo X fX n m m The Sample Mean for a Grouped Frequency Distribution The Sample Mean for a Grouped Frequency Distribution - Example

20 © The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc., The Median data array When a data set is ordered, it is called a data array. median The median is defined to be the midpoint of the data array. MD The symbol used to denote the median is MD.

21 © The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc., The Median The Median - Example The weights (in pounds) of seven army recruits are 180, 201, 220, 191, 219, 209, and 186. Find the median. Arrange the data in order and select the middle point.

22 © The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc., The Median The Median - Example Data array: Data array: 180, 186, 191, 201, 209, 219, 220. The median, MD = 201.

23 © The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc., The Median odd number In the previous example, there was an odd number of values in the data set. In this case it is easy to select the middle number in the data array.

24 © The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc., The Median even number average of the two middle numbers When there is an even number of values in the data set, the median is obtained by taking the average of the two middle numbers.

25 © The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc., The Median The Median - Example Six customers purchased the following number of magazines: 1, 7, 3, 2, 3, 4. Find the median. Arrange the data in order and compute the middle point. Data array: 1, 2, 3, 3, 4, 7. The median, MD = (3 + 3)/2 = 3.

26 © The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc., The Median The Median - Example The ages of 10 college students are: 18, 24, 20, 35, 19, 23, 26, 23, 19, 20. Find the median. Arrange the data in order and compute the middle point.

27 © The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc., The Median The Median - Example Data array:2023 Data array: 18, 19, 19, 20, 20, 23, 23, 24, 26, 35. MD = ( )/2 = The median, MD = ( )/2 = 21.5.

28 © The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc., The Median-Ungrouped Frequency Distribution For an ungrouped frequency distribution, find the median by examining the cumulative frequencies to locate the middle value.

29 © The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc., The Median-Ungrouped Frequency Distribution If n is the sample size, compute n/2. Locate the data point where n/2 values fall below and n/2 values fall above.

30 © The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc., The Median-Ungrouped Frequency Distribution The Median-Ungrouped Frequency Distribution - Example LRJ Appliance recorded the number of VCRs sold per week over a one-year period. The data is given below. No. Sets SoldFrequency No. Sets SoldFrequenc y

31 © The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc., The Median-Ungrouped Frequency Distribution The Median-Ungrouped Frequency Distribution - Example To locate the middle point, divide n by 2; 24/2 = 12. Locate the point where 12 values would fall below and 12 values will fall above. Consider the cumulative distribution. MD = 2 The 12 th and 13 th values fall in class 2. Hence MD = 2.

32 © The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc., No. Sets SoldFrequencyCumulative Frequency This class contains the 5th through the 13th values. 3-2 The Median-Ungrouped Frequency Distribution The Median-Ungrouped Frequency Distribution - Example

33 © The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc., The Median for a Grouped Frequency Distribution

34 © The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc., The Median for a Grouped Frequency Distribution The Median for a Grouped Frequency Distribution - Example 5 ClassFrequency, f

35 © The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc., ClassFrequency, fCumulative Frequency ClassFrequency, fCumulative F requency The Median for a Grouped Frequency Distribution The Median for a Grouped Frequency Distribution - Example

36 © The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc., To locate the halfway point, divide n by 2; 17/2 = median class Find the class that contains the 9 th value. This will be the median class. Consider the cumulative distribution – 30.5 The median class will then be 25.5 – The Median for a Grouped Frequency Distribution The Median for a Grouped Frequency Distribution - Example

37 © The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc., The Median for a Grouped Frequency Distribution =17 = = = –20.5=5 () ()= (17/2)–8 4 = n cf f w L MD ncf f wL m m ().

38 © The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc., The Mode mode The mode is defined to be the value that occurs most often in a data set. A data set can have more than one mode. no mode A data set is said to have no mode if all values occur with equal frequency.

39 © The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc., The Mode The Mode - Examples The following data represent the duration (in days) of U.S. space shuttle voyages for the years Find the mode. Data set: 8, 9, 9, 14, 8, 8, 10, 7, 6, 9, 7, 8, 10, 14, 11, 8, 14, 11. Mode = 8 Ordered set: 6, 7, 7, 8, 8, 8, 8, 8, 9, 9, 9, 10, 10, 11, 11, 14, 14, 14. Mode = 8.

40 © The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc., The Mode The Mode - Examples Six strains of bacteria were tested to see how long they could remain alive outside their normal environment. The time, in minutes, is given below. Find the mode. Data set: 2, 3, 5, 7, 8, 10. no mode There is no mode since each data value occurs equally with a frequency of one.

41 © The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc., The Mode The Mode - Examples Eleven different automobiles were tested at a speed of 15 mph for stopping distances. The distance, in feet, is given below. Find the mode. Data set: 15, 18, 18, 18, 20, 22, 24, 24, 24, 26, 26. two modes (bimodal) 1824Why? There are two modes (bimodal). The values are 18 and 24. Why?

42 © The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc., The Mode for an Ungrouped Frequency Distribution The Mode for an Ungrouped Frequency Distribution - Example Given the table below, find the mode. ValuesFrequency, f ValuesFrequency,f Mode

43 © The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc., The Mode - Grouped Frequency Distribution mode modal class The mode for grouped data is the modal class. modal class The modal class is the class with the largest frequency. Sometimes the midpoint of the class is used rather than the boundaries.

44 © The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc., The Mode for a Grouped Frequency Distribution The Mode for a Grouped Frequency Distribution - Example Modal Class Given the table below, find the mode.

45 © The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc., The Midrange midrange The midrange is found by adding the lowest and highest values in the data set and dividing by 2. The midrange is a rough estimate of the middle value of the data. MR The symbol that is used to represent the midrange is MR.

46 © The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc., The Midrange The Midrange - Example MR = (1 + 8)/2 = 4.5 Last winter, the city of Brownsville, Minnesota, reported the following number of water-line breaks per month. The data is as follows: 2, 3, 6, 8, 4, 1. Find the midrange. MR = (1 + 8)/2 = 4.5. Note: Note: Extreme values influence the midrange and thus may not be a typical description of the middle.

47 © The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc., The Weighted Mean weighted mean The weighted mean is used when the values in a data set are not all equally represented. weighted meanof a variable X The weighted mean of a variable X is found by multiplying each value by its corresponding weight and dividing the sum of the products by the sum of the weights.

48 © The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc., The Weighted Mean = Theweightedmean X wXwXwX www wX w wherewwwaretheweights forthevaluesXXX nn n n n ,,...,,,...,.

49 © The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc., Distribution Shapes Frequency distributions can assume many shapes. positively skewed symmetricalnegatively skewed The three most important shapes are positively skewed, symmetrical, and negatively skewed.

50 © The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc., Positively Skewed X Y Mode < Median < Mean Positively Skewed

51 © The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc., 2000 n 3-51 Symmetrical Y X Symmetrical Mean = Media = Mode

52 3-52 Negatively Skewed < Median < Mode

53 © The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc., Measures of Variation - Range range R The range is defined to be the highest value minus the lowest value. The symbol R is used for the range. R = highest value – lowest value. R = highest value – lowest value. Extremely large or extremely small data values can drastically affect the range.

54 © The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc., Measures of Variation - Population Variance = = 2 (), X N where Xindividualvalue populationmean Npopulationsize 2

55 © The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc., Measures of Variation - Population Standard Deviation The standard deviation is the square root of the variance. = 2 (). X N 2

56 © The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc., Consider the following data to constitute the population: 10, 60, 50, 30, 40, 20. Find the mean and variance. mean The mean = ( )/6 = 210/6 = 35. variance 2 The variance 2 = 1750/6 = See next slide for computations. 3-3 Measures of Variation Measures of Variation - Example

57 © The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc., Measures of Variation Measures of Variation - Example X X – (X – )

58 © The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc., Measures of Variation - Sample Variance The unbiased estimator of thepopulation variance or the sample variance is a statisticwhose value approximates the expected value of apopulation variance. It is denoted by s 2, (), where s XX n and Xsamplemean nsamplesize = = 2 2 1

59 © The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc., Measures of Variation - Sample Standard Deviation The sample standarddeviationis the square root of the samplevariance. = 2 ss XX n (). 2 1

60 © The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc., for the Sample Variance and the Standard Deviation 3-3 Shortcut Formula for the Sample Variance and the Standard Deviation = = XXn n s XXn n s ()/ ()/

61 © The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc., Find the variance and standard deviation for the following sample: 16, 19, 15, 15, 14. X = = 79. X 2 = = Sample Variance Sample Variance - Example

62 © The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc., 2000 = 1263 (79) = 3.7 = 2 s XXn n s ()/ / Sample Variance Sample Variance - Example

63 © The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc., grouped For grouped data, use the class midpoints for the observed value in the different classes. ungrouped For ungrouped data, use the same formula (see next slide) with the class midpoints, X m, replaced with the actual observed X value. 3-3 Sample Variance for Grouped and Ungrouped Data

64 © The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc., The sample variancefor grouped data: =s fXfXn n mm [()/]. 3-3 Sample Variance for Grouped and Ungrouped Data For ungrouped data, replace X m with the observe X value. For ungrouped data, replace X m with the observe X value.

65 © The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc., Sample Variance for Grouped Data- 3-3 Sample Variance for Grouped Data - Example

66 © The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc., The sample varianceand standard deviation: = = 1500 [(186) 2 s fXfXn n s [()/] /] Sample Variance for Ungrouped Data- 3-3 Sample Variance for Ungrouped Data - Example

67 © The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc., coefficient of variation The coefficient of variation is defined to be the standard deviation divided by the mean. The result is expressed as a percentage. 3-3 Coefficient of Variation CVar s X orCVar 100%100%. =

68 © The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc., Chebyshevs Theorem The proportion of values from a data set that will fall within k standard deviations of the mean will be at least 1 – 1/k 2, where k is any number greater than 1. For k = 2, 75% of the values will lie within 2 standard deviations of the mean. For k = 3, approximately 89% will lie within 3 standard deviations.

69 © The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc., The Empirical (Normal) Rule For any bell shaped distribution: Approximately 68% of the data values will fall within one standard deviation of the mean. Approximately 95% will fall within two standard deviations of the mean. Approximately 99.7% will fall within three standard deviations of the mean.

70 © The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc., The Empirical (Normal) Rule -- 95%

71 © The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc., Measures of Position z score standard scorez score The standard score or z score for a value is obtained by subtracting the mean from the value and dividing the result by the standard deviation. z z score The symbol z is used for the z score.

72 © The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc., The z score represents the number of standard deviations a data value falls above or below the mean. 3-4 Measures of Position z -score Forsamples z XX s Forpopulations z X :. :.

73 © The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc., A student scored 65 on a statistics exam that had a mean of 50 and a standard deviation of 10. Compute the z-score. z = (65 – 50)/10 = 1.5. above That is, the score of 65 is 1.5 standard deviations above the mean. Above - Above - since the z-score is positive. 3-4 z-score z-score - Example

74 © The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc., Measures of Position - Percentiles Percentiles divide the distribution into 100 groups. P k The P k percentile is defined to be that numerical value such that at most k% of the values are smaller than P k and at most (100 – k)% are larger than P k in an ordered data set.

75 © The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc., Percentile Formula The percentile corresponding to a given value (X) is computed by using the formula: Percentile number of values below X total number of values 100%

76 © The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc., Percentiles - Example A teacher gives a 20-point test to 10 students. Find the percentile rank of a score of 12. Scores: 18, 15, 12, 6, 8, 2, 3, 5, 20, 10. Ordered set: 2, 3, 5, 6, 8, 10, 12, 15, 18, 20. Percentile = [( )/10](100%) = 65th percentile. Student did better than 65% of the class.

77 © The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc., Percentiles - Finding the value Corresponding to a Given Percentile Procedure: Procedure: Let p be the percentile and n the sample size. Step 1: Step 1: Arrange the data in order. Step 2:c = (n p)/100 Step 2: Compute c = (n p)/100. Step 3:c c c c+1 Step 3: If c is not a whole number, round up to the next whole number. If c is a whole number, use the value halfway between c and c+1.

78 © The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc., Percentiles - Finding the value Corresponding to a Given Percentile Step 4: Step 4: The value of c is the position value of the required percentile. Example: Find the value of the 25th percentile for the following data set: 2, 3, 5, 6, 8, 10, 12, 15, 18, 20. Note: Note: the data set is already ordered. n = 10, p = 25, so c = (10 25)/100 = 2.5. Hence round up to c = 3.

79 © The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc., Percentiles - Finding the value Corresponding to a Given Percentile Thus, the value of the 25th percentile is the value X = 5. Find the 80th percentile. c = (10 80)/100 = 8. Thus the value of the 80th percentile is the average of the 8th and 9th values. Thus, the 80th percentile for the data set is ( )/2 = 16.5.

80 © The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc., Special Percentiles - Deciles and Quartiles 3-4 Special Percentiles - Deciles and Quartiles Deciles Deciles divide the data set into 10 groups. Deciles are denoted by D 1, D 2, …, D 9 with the corresponding percentiles being P 10, P 20, …, P 90 Quartiles Quartiles divide the data set into 4 groups.

81 © The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc., Special Percentiles - Deciles and Quartiles 3-4 Special Percentiles - Deciles and Quartiles Quartiles are denoted by Q 1, Q 2, and Q 3 with the corresponding percentiles being P 25, P 50, and P 75. The median is the same as P 50 or Q 2.

82 © The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc., Outliers and the Interquartile Range (IQR) outlier An outlier is an extremely high or an extremely low data value when compared with the rest of the data values. Interquartile Range IQR = Q 3 – Q 1 The Interquartile Range, IQR = Q 3 – Q 1.

83 © The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc., Outliers and the Interquartile Range (IQR) 3-4 Outliers and the Interquartile Range (IQR) To determine whether a data value can be considered as an outlier: Step 1: Step 1: Compute Q 1 and Q 3. Step 2: Step 2: Find the IQR = Q 3 – Q 1. Step 3: Step 3: Compute (1.5)(IQR). Step 4: Step 4: Compute Q 1 – (1.5)(IQR) and Q 3 + (1.5)(IQR).

84 © The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc., Outliers and the Interquartile Range (IQR) To determine whether a data value can be considered as an outlier: Step 5: Step 5: Compare the data value (say X) with Q 1 – (1.5)(IQR) and Q 3 + (1.5)(IQR). If X Q 3 + (1.5)(IQR), then X is considered an outlier.

85 © The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc., Outliers and the Interquartile Range (IQR) Outliers and the Interquartile Range (IQR) - Example Given the data set 5, 6, 12, 13, 15, 18, 22, 50, can the value of 50 be considered as an outlier? Verify Q 1 = 9, Q 3 = 20, IQR = 11. Verify. (1.5)(IQR) = (1.5)(11) = – 16.5 = – 7.5 and = The value of 50 is outside the range – 7.5 to 36.5, hence 50 is an outlier.

86 © The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc., Exploratory Data Analysis - Stem and Leaf Plot stem and leaf plot A stem and leaf plot is a data plot that uses part of a data value as the stem and part of the data value as the leaf to form groups or classes.

87 © The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc., At an outpatient testing center, a sample of 20 days showed the following number of cardiograms done each day: 25, 31, 20, 32, 13, 14, 43, 02, 57, 23, 36, 32, 33, 32, 44, 32, 52, 44, 51, 45. Construct a stem and leaf plot for the data. 3-5 Exploratory Data Analysis - Stem and Leaf Plot Exploratory Data Analysis - Stem and Leaf Plot - Example

88 © The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc., Exploratory Data Analysis - Stem and Leaf Plot Exploratory Data Analysis - Stem and Leaf Plot - Example Leading Digit (Stem) Trailing Digit (Leaf)

89 © The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc., Exploratory Data Analysis - Box Plot box plot minimum valuelower hinge medianupper hinge maximum value When the data set contains a small number of values, a box plot is used to graphically represent the data set. These plots involve five values: the minimum value, the lower hinge, the median, the upper hinge, and the maximum value.

90 © The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc., Exploratory Data Analysis - Box Plot lower hinge LH The lower hinge is the median of all values less than or equal to the median when the data set has an odd number of values, or as the median of all values less than the median when the data set has an even number of values. The symbol for the lower hinge is LH.

91 © The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc., Exploratory Data Analysis - Box Plot upper hinge UH The upper hinge is the median of all values greater than or equal to the median when the data set has an odd number of values, or as the median of all values greater than the median when the data set has an even number of values. The symbol for the upper hinge is UH.

92 © The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc., Exploratory Data Analysis - Box Plot - (Cardiograms data) 3-5 Exploratory Data Analysis - Box Plot - Example (Cardiograms data)

93 © The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc., Information Obtained from a Box Plot If the median is near the center of the box, the distribution is approximately symmetric. If the median falls to the left of the center of the box, the distribution is positively skewed. If the median falls to the right of the center of the box, the distribution is negatively skewed.

94 © The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc., Information Obtained from a Box Plot If the lines are about the same length, the distribution is approximately symmetric. If the right line is larger than the left line, the distribution is positively skewed. If the left line is larger than the right line, the distribution is negatively skewed.