Estimation of potential damages for the population and an economy of a coastal zone. - презентация

1 Estimation of potential damages for the population and an economy of a coastal zone

2 The basic concepts Оbject – akva-territorial systems Subject – influence of natural processes on akva- territorial systems The purpose – an estimation of influence of natural processes on akva-territorial systems

3 The basic concepts Influence kinds: The wind The wave The ice Setups Flooding Waterlogging Consequences: The missed benefit Profit loss The accelerated amortization Loss of funds Expenses for protective actions

4 Methods Calculation is made under the formula: ЗП = С + ЕК (1) Where (С) – the cost price of manufacture of the goods, (К) – the capital investments (investments) necessary for manufacture, (Е) – standard effectiveness ratio of capital investments (equal to return size of a time of recovery of outlay)

5 Coast protection Cost gabions a protective wall of 69 million in rub/km Cost not ferro-concrete Coast protection constructions fluctuates from 25 to 40 million rub/km Cost of a ferro-concrete protective wall of 150 million in rub/km

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7 The main parameters for calculation of using coast density Long term assets of Leningrad region: billion rub by cost billion rub by total cost -Urban population peoples For one people: -0,6 million rub by cost -1,0 million rub by total cost

8 Distribution of transfer of cargoes between the largest port areas ПортыГрузооборот млн т Murmansk 37,4 St.-Petersburg158,2 Including port the Big St.- Petersburg50,4 Primorsk79,1 Visotsk17,3 Ust_Luga10,4 Novorossisk123,6 Tuapse18,4 In total on ports of Russia496,4

9 Freight turnover 22 million t (project on 2011 year) Freight turnover 191 million t (project on 2025 year) Volume of sales 957 million rub by year (project 8326 in price of 2010 year) Profit 400 million rub by year (project 3472 in price of 2010 year) Accumulated capital investment 65 billion rub Length of quay wall 7,7 km Cost 8,5 billion rub Maintenance under modern level of action 850 million rub by year Price of one day port stop: loss of volume of sales (2,6 million rub) and profit (1,1 million rub) loss of 22,8 и 9,5 correspondingly (2025 year).

10 Specialization: reception, storage and shipment of oil to tankers. For realization of tasks in view the port has: резервуарный park of numbering 18 tanks RVSPK and 5 tanks of emergency dump (out of an influence zone) Two bulk pump stations (out of an influence zone) 4 cargo moorings (1350 m, cost 1,5 billion rub), the general productivity m3/hour. (In an influence zone); Coastal treatment facilities (in an influence zone) 676 million profit rub One days of idle time because of storm weather turn around decrease in profit of 1,9 million rub It is received in rent of the basic means 8,4 billion rub including constructions 4,5 billion rub

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13 Design estimation of efficiency of building of a promenade of Svetlogorsk to Pioneer Expenses: Extent - 2,65 km; Cost-3,0 billion rub., i.e. 1,1 billion rub /km It is protected: Territory in 40 hectares, with total amount of investments 9,0 billion rub Economic benefit: НДФЛ-100 million rub ; Insurance payments in the state off-budget funds million rub ; Rent payments in the regional budget of-50 million rub ; Other receipts in budgets of all levels of-380 million rub Recoupment - 8 years (not discounted time of recovery of outlay).

14 Социально- экономический объект (участок берега) Населе ние/пер сонал (тыс. чел)S (га) S зоны затопле ния (га) S застрой ки (тыс. кв.м) S застрой ки зоны затопле ния (тыс. кв.м) Накопл енные инвест иции (млн руб) Стоимо сть 1 квартир ы (млн руб) стоимо сть земли (млн долл) ОФ (полная стоимо сть, млн руб) ОФ (остато чная стоимо сть, млн руб.) в т.ч. Пассив ная часть фондов стоимо сть за га (руб/га) в т.ч. Пассив ная часть (млн руб) ОФ на душа населен ия (тыс. руб) ОФ (О) на душу населен ия (тыс. руб) протяж енность берегов ой линии (км) ВРП (млн руб) V услуг (продук ция), млн руб доход/п рибыль (млн руб) Ленинградская область1629, эстонская граница – р.Луга0,01465 г. Усть-Луга (проект)34, Усть-Луга (1-я очередь)10561,9 р. Луга – порт Усть- Луга4,7 Причалы порта Усть-Луга , Порт Усть-Луга – Ленинградской АЭС0,360 Ленинградская АЭС (б/з сооружения)7806 Ленинградская АЭС г. Сосновый Бор67, г. Сосновый Бор – Лебяжинское38 Лебяжинское5, ,6 Ижора3, ,4 Порт Приморск ,5676 Высоцк22001,5135 Выборг1,35 Summary data on coast of gulf of Finland

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